Thursday, August 04, 2011

Combining Fibs with Trend Lines

Another good tool to combine with the Fibonacci tool is trend line analysis. After all, Fibonacci levels work best when the market is trending, so this makes a lot of sense!

Remember that whenever a pair is in a downtrend or uptrend, traders use Fibonacci retracement levels as a way to get in on the trend. So why not look for levels where Fib levels line up right smack with the trend?
Here's a 1-hour chart of AUD/JPY. As you can see, price has been respecting a short term rising trend line over the past couple of days.

Rising trend line on 1-hour chart of AUD/JPY

You think to yourself, "Hmm, that's a sweet uptrend right there. I wanna buy AUD/JPY, even if it's just for a short term trade. I think I'll buy once the pair hits the trend line again."

Before you do that though, why don't you reach for your forex tool box and get that Fibonacci tool out? Let's see if we can get a more exact entry price.

Fib levels intersecting with rising trend line. Potential support?

Here we plotted the Fibonacci retracement levels by using the Swing low at 82.61 and the Swing High at 83.84.
Notice how the 50.0% and 61.8% Fib levels are intersected by the rising trend line.
Could these levels serve as potential support levels? There's only one way to find out!

Trend line and support at 61.8% Fib level hold

Guess what? The 61.8% Fib level held, as price bounced there before heading back up. If you had set some orders at that level, you would have had a perfect entry!

A couple of hours after touching the trend line, price zoomed up like Astroboy on Red Bull, bursting through the Swing High.
Aren't you glad you've got this in your forex toolbox now?
As you can see, it does pay to make use of the Fibonacci tool, even if you're planning to enter on a retest of the trend line. The combination of both a diagonal and a horizontal support or resistance level could mean that other traders are eying those levels as well.

Take note though, as with other drawing tools, drawing trend lines can also get pretty subjective.
You don't know exactly how other traders are drawing them, but you can count on one thing - that there's a trend!

If you see that a trend is developing, you should be looking for ways to go long to give you a better chance of a profitable trade. You can use the Fibonacci tool to help you find potential entry points.

(See more) Combining Fibs with Candlesticks
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